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☆ Stocks to outperform fixed income in 2024, says Barclays
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Caitlin Ochs/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 16 (Reuters) - Global equities are set to outperform core fixed-income assets next year, as threats of a global economic slowdown have declined, Barclays strategists said in a note on Thursday. We think stocks will benefit from a fairly benign bottom to this business cycle and look through near-term earnings disappointments," said Ajay Rajadhyaksha, global chairman of research at Barclays. "We now turn overweight (on) global equities over core fixed income." Barclays expects mid-to-high single-digit equity returns in both the U.S. and Europe next year, even as bond yields stay elevated. JP Morgan had recommended commodities over stocks and bonds.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Goldman Sachs, J.P.Morgan, JP Morgan, Roshan Abraham, Susan Mathew, Janane Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Barclays, Treasury, U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Europe, Bengaluru

☆ Explainer: Why WeWork failed, and what is next
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

A WeWork logo is seen outside its offices in the Queens borough of New York City, U.S., November 7, 2023. WeWork was once the most valuable U.S. startup, worth $47 billion. The following explains WeWork's meteoric rise and fall that reshaped the office sector globally:What is WeWork? Just before WeWork filed for bankruptcy this week, Neumann said, "I believe that, with the right strategy and team, a reorganization will enable WeWork to emerge successfully." WeWork first tried to launch an IPO with Neumann as chief executive in 2019, with its parent, We Company, spending months preparing for the public offering.

Persons: Shannon Stapleton, WeWork, Adam Neumann, Rebekah Neumann, Miguel McKelvey, freewheeling, Neumann, Steve Clayton, Hargreaves Lansdown, Masayoshi Son, Oscar, Jared Leto, Anne Hathaway, Rebekah, Clayton, WeWork's, Cadwalader, Taft, Sam Stovall, SoftBank, Kannaki Deka, Susan Mathew, Anil D'Silva Organizations: REUTERS, Banks, JPMorgan Chase, Company, CFRA Research, Titanic, Thomson Locations: Queens, New York City, U.S, freewheeling Israel, Wickersham, Bengaluru

☆ Birkenstock gets Wall Street's top rating on capacity boost, expansion
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Nov 6 (Reuters) - Wall Street brokerages largely initiated Birkenstock (BIRK.N) with their top ratings, pointing to a likely boost from the German luxury sandal maker's recent investments to increase capacity, expansion into newer styles and brand loyalty. Birkenstock's shares dropped to as low as $35.83 in the days after listing on Oct. 11 and has traded below the IPO price of $46 apiece. Citigroup was among the most bullish, with a price target of $52, a more than 26% jump from the last close. Telsey Advisory Group analysts said Birkenstock has further avenue to expand into footwear categories such as orthopedics and professional, outdoor and active, kids, home, and sneakers. Morgan Stanley assigned a price target of $41 and an "equal-weight" rating, saying most catalysts were already priced in.

Persons: Birkenstock's, Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, Birkenstock, Bernard Arnault, Lorraine Hutchinson, Morgan Stanley, Hogan, Riley, Reshma Rockie George, Susan Mathew, Savyata Mishra, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel, Sriraj Organizations: Arm Holdings, Citigroup, Telsey Advisory, U.S ., Global, Thomson Locations: U.S, French, Bengaluru

☆ Wall Street starts Birkenstock with top rating, flags limited upside
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Birkenstock made its New York Stock Exchange debut last month at $41, below its initial public offering price. The company priced its IPO at $46 per share, in the middle of its indicated price range. Goldman Sachs sees an opportunity for market share gains, supported by the easing of supply constraints, as well as Birkenstock's pricing ability. Morgan Stanley is skeptical of any upside, assigning a price target of $41 and an "equal-weight" rating, as it sees most catalysts as already priced in. Birkenstock has since recovered, but barely breached its debut open price, closing on Friday at $41.16.

Persons: Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Birkenstock, Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, Reshma Rockie George, Susan Mathew, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, underwriters, Jefferies, HSBC, Arm Holdings, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

☆ JP Morgan, Nomura raise China's 2023 economic growth forecast
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

JP Morgan now expects China's gross domestic product (GDP) to grow 5.2% in 2023, up from their previous forecast and Beijing's official target of a 5% growth. Data on Wednesday showed China's GDP grew 4.9% in July-September from the year earlier, higher than a Reuters poll expectation for a 4.4% increase. Zhu warned, however, of weak links in the economy, such as private investment and a housing market correction. "Weak nominal GDP growth suggests that the earnings and profit outlook remains a hurdle in the path to the recovery in private investment," he noted. JPM sees China's potential growth coming down faster than initially expected in 2024 and 2025 to a range of 4%-4.5% and 3.5%-4%, respectively.

Persons: Thomas Peter, JP Morgan, Nomura, Haibin Zhu, JPM, Zhu, Albee Zhang, Susan Mathew, Christian Schmollinger, Eileen Soreng Organizations: REUTERS, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China

☆ Wall Street brokerages raise China's 2023 economic growth forecast
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-18 | by ( Susan Mathew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 18 (Reuters) - JP Morgan, Citigroup and Nomura on Wednesday lifted their forecast for China's economic growth for the year following upbeat data, but highlighted the need for more stimulus. Citigroup now expects China's GDP to grow 5.3% in 2023 from 5% earlier, while JP Morgan and Nomura see it at 5.2% and 5.1%, respectively. JP Morgan expects the economic momentum to persist in the coming months. Since the 5% growth target looks achievable, policy space could be saved for next year, Zheng said. JP Morgan expects China's potential growth coming down faster than initially expected in 2024 and 2025 to a range of 4%-4.5% and 3.5%-4%, respectively.

Persons: Thomas Peter, JP Morgan, Nomura, Goldman Sachs, Haibin Zhu, Morgan Stanley, Jenny Zheng, Zheng, Albee Zhang, Susan Mathew, Christian Schmollinger, Eileen Soreng Organizations: REUTERS, Citigroup, Nomura, Thomson Locations: Beijing, China

☆ Goldman Sachs lifts Europe Inc's 2023 profit growth forecast to 3%
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The logo for Goldman Sachs is seen on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., November 17, 2021. According to Goldman Sachs, higher oil prices will feed into higher revenues, benefiting commodity-related sectors — for which analysts at the brokerage expect positive earnings upgrades. Shares of European oil majors BP (BP.L), Shell (SHEL.L) and TotalEnergies (TTEF.PA) have gained between 4.5% and 7% since the conflict began. Adjusting for inflation, however, Goldman Sachs expects earnings in Europe to fall 2% this year. Through 2025, Goldman expects European and U.S. companies' profits to grow at 5% annually from current levels, but only 2% in real terms for Europe in the same period.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Andrew Kelly, Brent, Lilia Peytavin, Goldman, Roshan Abraham, Susan Mathew, Shilpi Majumdar Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Brent, East, BP, Shell, European, Thomson Locations: New York City , New York, U.S, Europe, Bengaluru

☆ BlackRock Investment Institute raises rating of long-dated US Treasuries
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

A bronze seal for the Department of the Treasury is shown at the U.S. Treasury building in Washington, U.S., January 20, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 16 (Reuters) - BlackRock Investment Institute on Monday raised the rating of long-dated U.S. Treasuries to "neutral" from "underweight" as it sees yields approaching a peak. "We now see about equal odds that long-term yields swing in either direction," said Jean Boivin, head of BlackRock Investment Institute. BlackRock Investment Institute, an arm of U.S.-based investment firm BlackRock that provides proprietary investment research, is "overweight" on euro area and UK bonds as it sees more rate cuts than the market in these regions. Reporting by Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Kevin Lamarque, Jean Boivin, Susan Mathew, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: Department of, U.S . Treasury, REUTERS, BlackRock Investment, BlackRock Investment Institute, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S, BlackRock, Bengaluru

☆ UBS pushes out S&P 500 mid-2024 target forecast to year-end
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

A logo of Swiss bank UBS is seen in Zurich, Switzerland March 29, 2023. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsOct 16 (Reuters) - UBS said it now expects the S&P 500 (.SPX) to hit 4,700 points only by December 2024, instead of the middle of the year as it forecast earlier, due to expectations of higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates. "The delay ... is primarily related to the recent rapid move higher in interest rates and ... expectations that interest rates will remain higher for longer," said David Lefkowitz, head of chief investment office, U.S. equities, UBS. The fear of higher-for-longer rates has pushed the S&P 500 down about 6% from this year's highs hit late in July. Reporting by Reshma Rockie George and Susan Mathew in Bengaluru; Editing by Savio D'SouzaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Denis Balibouse, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, Reshma Rockie George, Susan Mathew, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Swiss, UBS, REUTERS, The Federal, Thomson Locations: Zurich, Switzerland, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Goldman Sachs pushes its forecast for Fed rate cut to Q4 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

"Today, participants appeared to move away from the view that monetary policy tightening could weigh on growth with a long lag next year, which weakens one argument for cutting," Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius said in a note. "We think this means that inflation will have to fall further than we previously assumed for the FOMC to cut." Morgan Stanley, meanwhile, still expects the first rate cut to be delivered in March next year. The central bank's quarterly projections showed the rate may still be lifted one more time this year to a peak 5.50%-5.75% range. While Goldman and Morgan Stanley do not expect another rate hike this year, Barclays, BofA and Citigroup see the Fed delivering another 25 basis points raise in the November meeting.

Persons: Jason Reed, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Morgan Stanley, Goldman, Susan Mathew, Nivedita Organizations: U.S . Federal, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Wednesday, Barclays, BofA, Citigroup, Thomson Locations: Washington, Bengaluru

☆ BofA lifts S&P 500 2023-end target by 7%, led by "old economy" stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-20 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 is up 15.7% so far this year, largely driven by a rally in a handful of mega-cap growth stocks such as Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Meta (META.O) that have ridden the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. While the rally has been moderating, BofA remains in "neutral" to "positive" territory on U.S. stocks, with a bias towards equal-weighted stocks, strategists led by Savita Subramanian said. An equal-weight index assigns uniform weights to each constituent, unlike a market capitalization-based index, like the S&P 500, where bigger companies tend to have an outsized influence. Equal-weighted stocks have less volatile earnings, smaller differences in analysts' estimates, and are cheaper and less crowded than growth stocks, Subramanian said. While a "fresh wave of bear narratives around equities have emerged", BofA says the "old economy", which includes value stocks - more prevalent in the equal-weighted S&P 500 - could benefit as much as tech and growth.

Persons: Andrew Kelly, Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, BofA, Morgan Stanley, Susan Mathew, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Dow Jones, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Street, Nvidia, Tech, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Tesla jumps on prediction supercomputer unit could add $600 bln to mkt value
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Dojo can open up new addressable markets that "extend well beyond selling vehicles at a fixed price," Morgan Stanley analysts led by Adam Jonas said in a note on Sunday. The Wall Street brokerage upgraded Tesla's stock to "overweight" from "equal-weight" and made it their "top pick," replacing Ferrari's U.S.-listed shares . That's about 76% higher than Tesla's market value of about $789 billion, based on the stock's close of $248.5 on Friday. Morgan Stanley raised its revenue estimate from Tesla's network services business to $335 billion in 2040, from $157 billion earlier. Jonas expects the unit to account for more than 60% of Tesla's core earnings by 2040, nearly doubling from 2030.

Persons: Matthew Childs, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Roshan Abraham, Susan Mathew, Medha Singh, Savio D'Souza, Sherry Jacob, Phillips, Rashmi Organizations: REUTERS, Dojo, Ferrari's U.S, Ford, Motors, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, Bengaluru

☆ Tesla supercomputer could boost EV maker's market cap by $600 bln -Morgan Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

REUTERS/Matthew Childs/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 11 (Reuters) - Tesla's (TSLA.O) supercomputer, Dojo, to train AI models for autonomous cars could give the electric vehicle maker an "asymmetric advantage" and boost its market capitalization by nearly $600 billion, or 76%, Morgan Stanley estimated. Tesla started production of Dojo in July and plans to spend more than $1 billion through next year. Dojo can open up new addressable markets that "extend well beyond selling vehicles at a fixed price," Morgan Stanley analysts, led by Adam Jonas, said in a note published on Sunday. The Wall Street brokerage upgraded its recommendation on Tesla's stock to "overweight" from "equal-weight" and made it their "top pick," replacing Ferrari's U.S.-listed shares . That compares with its current market value of about $789 billion, after the stock closed at $248.5 on Friday.

Persons: Matthew Childs, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Roshan Abraham, Susan Mathew, Savio D'Souza Organizations: REUTERS, Dojo, Ferrari's U.S, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, Bengaluru

☆ Tesla jumps as analyst predicts $600 billion value boost from Dojo
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The logo of car manufacturer Tesla is seen at a dealership in London, Britain, May 14, 2021. REUTERS/Matthew Childs/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsSept 11 (Reuters) - Tesla rallied 6% on Monday after Morgan Stanley said its Dojo supercomputer could power a near $600 billion surge in the electric-car maker's market value by helping speed up its foray into robotaxis and software services. The Wall Street brokerage upgraded Tesla's stock to "overweight" from "equal-weight" and replaced Ferrari's U.S.-listed shares with it as "top pick". That is about 76% higher than Tesla's market value of about $789 billion, based on the stock's close of $248.5 on Friday. Morgan Stanley raised its revenue estimate for Tesla's network services business to $335 billion in 2040 from $157 billion earlier.

Persons: Matthew Childs, Tesla, Morgan Stanley, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Roshan Abraham, Susan Mathew, Medha Singh, Savio D'Souza, Sherry Jacob, Phillips, Rashmi Aich, Anil D'Silva Organizations: REUTERS, Dojo, Ford, Motors, Thomson Locations: London, Britain, Ferrari's U.S, Bengaluru

Nvidia's stock rose as high as $502.66, topping a record hit earlier this week, The first trillion-dollar chip maker pared some gains and was last up 0.8%% at $474.6. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC), buoyed by Nvidia, rose in early trade before falling by 1.36%. Reuters GraphicsMore than 20 brokerages raised their target price on Nvidia after the earnings. The median analyst price target on the stock has nearly doubled to $600 since May when the company forecast a 50% jump in second-quarter revenue. Short sellers of Nvidia's stock have made $826 million in mark-to-market losses on Thursday, data from analytics firm S3 Partners showed.

Persons: Ann Wang, Michael James, James, Elazar, Tom Plumb, Plumb, Matthew Tuttle, Susan Mathew, Chavi Mehta, Medha Singh, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shristi Achar, Amruta, Noel Randewich, Varun H, Shinjini Ganguli, Sharon Singleton, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, Nvidia, Philadelphia Semiconductor, Marvell Technology, Devices Inc, Intel, Nasdaq, Wedbush Securities, Reuters, Elazar Advisors, Rosenblatt Securities, Plumb Funds, Partners, Tuttle Capital Management, Thomson Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Clara , California, Bengaluru, Chibuike, New York, Oakland , California

☆ Nvidia's Frankfurt shares surge as stellar results seen keeping AI rally alive
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

A Nvidia logo is seen on one of their products on display at their headquarters in Taipei, Taiwan May 31, 2023. REUTERS/Ann Wang/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 24 (Reuters) - Frankfurt-listed shares of Nvidia jumped 8.7% on Thursday, lifting tech shares around the world, after the company forecast quarterly revenue that smashed expectations and announced a $25 billion buyback. That represents an over three-fold rise in shares from last close of $471.16. The results are also seem keeping a Wall Street rally alive, with futures tracking the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 jumping more than 1%, while S&P 500 futures rose 0.7%. Elsewhere, shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) (2330.TW), which supplies to Nvidia, rose 2.2%.

Persons: Ann Wang, Elazar, Stacy A, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Susan Mathew, Varun Organizations: REUTERS, Nvidia, Elazar Advisors, Rosenblatt Securities, Swissquote Bank, Big Tech, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, ASM International, BE Semiconductor, Aixtron, Thomson Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Frankfurt, Bengaluru

☆ Nvidia results burnish AI rally, lift global tech shares
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Nvidia's shares rose to $510.14 in premarket trading, set to surpass a record high of $481.87 hit earlier this week. That represents another three-fold increase in the stock's value from current levels. Elsewhere, shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) (2330.TW), which supplies to Nvidia, rose 2.2%. A lot rested on Nvidia posting strong results, as most of the S&P 500's over 15% year-to-date gains have come from the AI-driven rally in Nvidia and other Big Tech stocks. Investing.com analyst Thomas Monteiro said Nvidia's results validated "the narrative that has been propping tech stocks in general this year."

Persons: Ann Wang, ”, Hargreaves, Sophie Lund, Yates, Elazar, Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon, Ipek Ozkardeskaya, Thomas Monteiro, Susan Mathew, Chavi Mehta, Varun Organizations: REUTERS, Nvidia, Elazar Advisors, Rosenblatt Securities, Devices, Micron Technology, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, ASM International, BE Semiconductor, Aixtron, Swissquote Bank, Big Tech, Thomson Locations: Taipei, Taiwan, Bengaluru

☆ U.S. stocks may start to question economic resilience, says Morgan Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FILE PHOTO: People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 21 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 will likely struggle to make more headway after rallying almost 14% so far this year as investors start to question the sustainability of the U.S. economy's resilience, Morgan Stanley equity strategists said. One reason is that a "sell-the news" mentality has taken hold following second-quarter earnings, potentially slowing price momentum, said Morgan Stanley strategists, led by Michael Wilson. "While limited in downside magnitude, this recent price action is a change and suggests stocks may be starting to question the sustainability of the economic resiliency we experienced in the first half of the year," said Wilson. Wilson also sees fading tailwinds from excess savings among consumers, which leaves consumer discretionary stocks vulnerable.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Marc Giannoni, Susan Mathew, Saumyadeb Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Barclays, Credit Suisse, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ BAE snaps up Ball's aerospace arm for $5.6 billion in its biggest deal ever
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Yadarisa Shabong | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

People gather at the BAE Systems' booth during the Association of the United States Army (AUSA) Global Force Symposium & Exposition in Huntsville, Alabama, U.S. March 28, 2023. Shares in BAE Systems fell as much as 4.9%, while Ball Corp rose 2.7% in premarket trading. "We see this deal as a good fit, although slightly expensive," Jefferies analysts led by Chloe Lemarie wrote in a note. He also confirmed the 1.5 billion pound ($1.91 billion) share repurchase announced with its half-year results. The Colorado-based aerospace business made $1.98 billion in revenue and accounted for 13% of Ball's consolidated net sales in 2022.

Persons: Cheney Orr, Tom Arseneault, Chloe Lemarie, Charles Woodburn, Yadarisa Shabong, Chandini, Susan Mathew, Subhranshu Sahu, Jason Neely, Sharon Singleton Organizations: BAE Systems, Association of, United States Army, Global, REUTERS, Ball Corp, Jefferies, Reuters, Blackstone Inc, Veritas Capital Fund Management, BAE, General Dynamics Corp, Textron, Shore Capital, Britain's, British, Thomson Locations: Huntsville , Alabama, U.S, Ukraine, Colorado, Bengaluru

☆ BAE snaps up Ball's aerospace arm for $5.6 bln in its biggest deal ever
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-17 | by ( Yadarisa Shabong | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

People gather at the BAE Systems' booth during the Association of the United States Army (AUSA) Global Force Symposium & Exposition in Huntsville, Alabama, U.S. March 28, 2023. The war in Ukraine has led to new demand for those in munitions supply chains, Tom Arseneault, head of BAE's U.S. business, told analysts. Shares in BAE Systems fell as much as 4.9%, while Ball Corp rose 2.7% in premarket trading. "We see this deal as a good fit, although slightly expensive," Jefferies analysts led by Chloe Lemarie wrote in a note. The Colorado-based aerospace business made $1.98 billion in revenue and accounted for 13% of Ball's consolidated net sales in 2022.

☆ China's Country Garden woes raise fears of REIT defaults - J.P.Morgan
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai, China August 9, 2023. REUTERS/Aly Song/File PhotoAug 14 (Reuters) - Turmoil at China's largest private developer Country Garden could set off a "vicious cycle" of financing stress on the country's real estate investment trusts (REITs), brokerage J.P. Morgan warned on Monday. These fresh worries come as Country Garden sought to delay payment on a private onshore bond for the first time and suspended trading in 11 onshore bonds. "The default events may lead to a chain reaction on developer financing, adding stress to POE (privately owned enterprise) developers and their creditors." Rising trust defaults would drag economic growth by 0.3-0.4 percentage points directly, J.P.Morgan warned.

Persons: Aly, Morgan, Katherine Lei, POE, J.P.Morgan, Nomura, Roshan Abraham, Susan Mathew, Danilo Masoni, Varun, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Shanghai Country Garden, REUTERS, China's, Zhongzhi Enterprise Group, Zhongrong, China Evergrande, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, China, HK, Beijing, Bengaluru, Milan

☆ Morgan Stanley warns of hit to equity valuation if US fiscal spending is cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

A sign is displayed on the Morgan Stanley building in New York U.S., July 16, 2018. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson/File PhotoAug 7 (Reuters) - Brokerage Morgan Stanley on Monday warned that lofty U.S. equity valuations could be questioned by investors if aggressive fiscal spending is curtailed after the downgrade of sovereign debt by ratings agency Fitch last week. While aggressive fiscal spending could continue, given the debt ceiling has been raised, fiscal policy has limits as deficits would widen - one of the reasons for Fitch's downgrade. "Investors will to call into question equity valuations, which were already high before the recent rise in yields," Wilson said in a weekend note. "If fiscal spending must be curtailed due to higher political or funding costs, the unfinished earnings decline that began last year is more likely to resume."

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Lucas Jackson, Fitch, Michael J Wilson, chalking, Wilson, Susan Mathew, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: New York U.S, REUTERS, U.S . Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ U.S. markets may not see lasting impact from Fitch downgrade
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Susan Mathew | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. Early moves in U.S. financial markets on Wednesday indicated some aversion to riskier assets as investors assessed the impact of the surprise downgrade. The dollar climbed 0.2%, after slipping broadly in the wake of the downgrade. "Investors have lived through the S&P downgrade in 2011 and remember coming away unscathed. "We see the market impact from the downgrade news as ultimately limited, and Friday's jobs report could trump the downgrade news as monetary policy is still the dominant driver for yields."

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Steven Zeng, Jay Barry, Data, J.P.Morgan, Fitch, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Moody's, Susan Mathew, Saumyadeb Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, P Global, Nasdaq, Treasury, Fitch, Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve, Gross, AAA, Aaa, U.S ., U.S, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Factbox: Credit rating: The shrinking 'triple A' club
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Aug 2 (Reuters) - Ratings agency Fitch on Tuesday downgraded the U.S. government's top credit rating by a notch to 'AA+' sending jitters across global markets as investors assessed the impact from the move. Here is a list of countries whose sovereign debt is still rated 'AAA' by at least two of the top three ratings agencies:Compiled by Susan Mathew, Shubham Kalia, and Shubham Batra in Bengaluru;Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Fitch, Susan Mathew, Shubham Kalia, Shubham Batra Organizations: AAA, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru

☆ Citigroup lifts S&P 500's year-end target to 4,600
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

July 31 (Reuters) - Citigroup raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 by 15% as it now sees a higher probability of a soft landing for the U.S. economy, as well as, an earnings upside. The bank sees the S&P 500 (.SPX) ending 2023 at 4,600 points, a 0.4% uptick from Friday's closing of 4,582.23. Citi pushed out its probability of a U.S. recession to the first half of 2024 from the last quarter of this year. The new S&P 500 projections better reflect that, the bank's strategists said. The Wall Street bank now projects earnings of $220 per share in 2023 for companies on the S&P 500, up from the $215 projected earlier.

Persons: Susan Mathew, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Citigroup, Citi, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru

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